FRAMEWORK FOR DETERMINING CONVENTIONAL FORCE REQUIREMENTS IN A CHANGING THREAT ENVIRONMENT

SEC. 901. FRAMEWORK FOR DETERMINING CONVENTIONAL FORCE REQUIREMENTS IN A CHANGING THREAT ENVIRONMENT (a) Evaluation of Effect of Warsaw Pact Reductions and of Possible CFE Agreement.—The Secretary of Defense shall submit to the congressional defense committees a report providing the Secretary’s evaluation of the effect upon requirements of the United States for conventional forces and for military spending that could be anticipated under the following assumptions: (1) The full implementation of the unilateral force reductions in, and subsequent reorganization of, forces of the Soviet Union described by the President of the Soviet Union on December 7, 1988, and the unilateral force reductions subsequently announced by the other members of the Warsaw Pact. (2) Entry into force of a conventional arms control agreement establishing rough parity in conventional forces in Europe be-tween forces of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and the Warsaw Pact at equal levels (at approximately 85 to 90 percent of NATO’s current inventory) of tanks, artillery, armored troop carriers, combat helicopters, and land-based combat aircraft. 103 STAT. 1520 (b) Matters To Be Included in Evaluation.—In carrying out the evaluation required by subsection (a) of the unilateral force reductions referred to in paragraph (1) of that subsection and the potential effect of an agreement referred to in paragraph (2) of that subsection, the Secretary shall include in the evaluation (at a minimum) the following (stated for both the near-term and mid-term): (1) An assessment of the threat to NATO under the assumptions specified in each of paragraphs (1) and (2) of subsection (a). (2) The effect on the defense strategy of the United States for meeting its NATO commitments in the changing threat environment, including the effect on the ability of NATO to defend against an attack by the Warsaw Pact (A) on short warning, or (B) during a crisis in Europe. (3) The effect on— (A) the mix of active and reserve forces of the United States; (B) the ratio of (i) conventional forces of the United States deployed in the European theater, to (ii) conventional forces of the United States deployed in the continental United States; and (C) air and sea lift requirements. (3) The effect on operational military concepts of the United States and NATO (such as Follow-on Forces Attack (FOFA), AirLand Battle, Maritime Strategy, and Rapid Reinforcement) that were initially developed to counter the large advantage of the Warsaw Pact in conventional land forces in the European theater. (4) The effect on equipment requirements of the United States for meeting its commitments to NATO in the 1990s. (c) Time for Submission.—The report required by subsection (a) shall be submitted concurrently with the submission to Congress of the President’s budget for fiscal year 1991 pursuant to section 1105 of title 31, United States Code. The report shall be submitted in both classified and unclassified form.