310 CMR 36.13
Safe Yield
(1) Safe yield of a water source is calculated as 55% of the drought basin yield plus the
reservoir storage volume, if any, for that water source. For the purposes of calculating safe yield:
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(a) drought basin yield is the annualized Q streamflows in a water source based on
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averaging estimated near natural monthly Q streamflows. It is an estimation of the water
that would be available in an unimpacted river basin during the probable driest period that
is likely to occur; and
(b) reservoir storage volume is the modeled volume of water remaining in reservoir storage
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at the end of a simulated one-year drought comprised of annualized monthly Q flows,
calculated as available storage minus any registered or permitted withdrawals and any
required release volume; and
(c) reservoir storage volume is capped at the firm yield of the reservoir.
(2) Should registered volumes for a water source, taking into account any determinations made
by the Department pursuant to 310 CMR 36.27(4), exceed safe yield, no additional volumes of
water will be available through permitting. Where such registered volumes do not exceed safe
yield there is no presumption that withdrawals will be permitted. The allocation of water
available for permitting within the safe yield will be determined, and may be limited by,
application of streamflow criteria, statutory and regulatory requirements, and site-specific
considerations pursuant to M.G.L. c. 21G and 310 CMR 36.00.
(3) Safe yield, reservoir storage volume(s), total registered volumes and currently permitted
volumes for each water source will be published on the Department’s website.
(4) In a water source where reservoir storage volume is a factor in determining safe yield,
reservoir storage volumes are available only to those permittees with legal access to the
reservoir(s).
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(5) For water sources where an estimate of near natural annualized Q streamflow is not
applicable because the water source is groundwater-driven (the southern portion of South
Coastal, Cape Cod, Islands, and portions of Buzzards Bay), safe yield is determined through
analysis of water available during the probable driest period through groundwater recharge for
each water source.